"Every technological revolution starts with over-enthusiasm and ends with realism. AI is no different." Kai-Fu Lee, AI entrepreneur and author of AI Superpowers
Early signs of fatigue in AI growth
Nvidia’s recent revenue forecast and four straight negative sessions have sparked anxiety across markets, with investors wondering if AI’s meteoric rise is cooling off. A recent MIT study, GenAI Divide: State of AI in Business, noted that while 95% of companies experiment with AI, most still struggle to turn that experimentation into profit, hinting at inflated expectations.
Industry insiders raise red flags
Even OpenAI’s CEO, Sam Altman, warned that the “bubble” talk isn’t entirely misplaced. He pointed out that certain company valuations are “insane” and that markets often swing between hype and correction. Analysts from Goldman Sachs and other firms have drawn parallels with the dot-com bubble, emphasizing that the AI sector’s euphoria may face a similar reckoning.
Echoes from history
The dot-com collapse of the 2000s offers a sobering reminder of how overvalued tech markets can deflate. Today’s “AI stocks” the Magnificent Seven, including Apple, Amazon, and Microsoft dominate indexes much like their dot-com-era predecessors. Analysts caution that even strong fundamentals can’t sustain perpetual exponential growth.
Structural strengths and weaknesses
Despite warnings, AI’s landscape is stronger than during past tech bubbles. Unlike the 1990s, AI has real applications, government partnerships, and measurable productivity boosts. However, rising competition, overfunding, and slowing adoption cycles signal a need for cautious optimism.
The verdict: correction, not collapse
Experts believe AI’s trajectory may bend, not break. As one analyst noted, “AI isn’t failing; it’s normalizing.” The frenzy around profits may give way to maturity, a phase where sustainable innovation replaces speculative excitement.

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