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Does AI raise productivity or ...

"The real promise of AI lies not in replacing human judgment, but in amplifying it." – Erik Brynjolfsson, Professor at Stanford Un...

"The real promise of AI lies not in replacing human judgment, but in amplifying it." – Erik Brynjolfsson, Professor at Stanford University

Cracking the AI productivity puzzle

In 1987, Nobel laureate Robert Solow famously remarked, “You can see the computer age everywhere but in the productivity statistics.” This observation, known as the Solow Paradox, highlighted how technology adoption did not always translate into higher productivity. Decades later, the paradox resurfaces with artificial intelligence, as many firms still struggle to turn AI enthusiasm into measurable performance gains.

The paradox in the AI era

Recent surveys reveal that only about a quarter of global executives see clear value from AI investments. The issue lies not in the technology itself but in how it is applied. Productivity gains depend on decision quality, data readiness, skilled teams, and strategic use, not just AI tools.

The decision-quality factor

AI’s role should be to enhance decision-making, not replace it. For example, in banking, predictive models can identify risk patterns, but without human oversight and contextual judgment, such models may mislead rather than guide. Good AI use blends machine precision with human reasoning.

Avoiding automation traps

Generative and agentic AI offer tempting efficiency through automation, yet automating weak or ambiguous processes often backfires. Organizations must first strengthen decision frameworks before handing them over to AI.

From automation to transformation

True productivity emerges when AI initiatives are tied to core business goals, supported by high-quality data, and embedded in a learning culture. Just as the light bulb required rethinking candle-making, AI’s success demands reimagining how organizations create value, not just how they compute.

Summary

AI will raise productivity only when firms focus on decision quality, process redesign, and skilled human integration. Blind automation without clarity or data discipline risks turning the AI revolution into another unfulfilled promise.

Food for thought

Can organizations learn to treat AI as a thinking partner rather than just a digital worker?

AI concept to learn: Decision intelligence

Decision intelligence blends data science, social science, and managerial reasoning to improve decision-making. It helps organizations design systems where AI and humans collaborate to make informed, explainable, and impactful choices. 


[The Research Team at Billion Hopes brings to you latest AI news and developments in a useful format. Feedback welcome!]

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