"The real promise of AI lies not in replacing human judgment, but in amplifying it." – Erik Brynjolfsson, Professor at Stanford University
Cracking the AI productivity puzzle
In 1987, Nobel laureate Robert Solow famously remarked, “You can see the computer age everywhere but in the productivity statistics.” This observation, known as the Solow Paradox, highlighted how technology adoption did not always translate into higher productivity. Decades later, the paradox resurfaces with artificial intelligence, as many firms still struggle to turn AI enthusiasm into measurable performance gains.
The paradox in the AI era
Recent surveys reveal that only about a quarter of global executives see clear value from AI investments. The issue lies not in the technology itself but in how it is applied. Productivity gains depend on decision quality, data readiness, skilled teams, and strategic use, not just AI tools.
The decision-quality factor
AI’s role should be to enhance decision-making, not replace it. For example, in banking, predictive models can identify risk patterns, but without human oversight and contextual judgment, such models may mislead rather than guide. Good AI use blends machine precision with human reasoning.
Avoiding automation traps
Generative and agentic AI offer tempting efficiency through automation, yet automating weak or ambiguous processes often backfires. Organizations must first strengthen decision frameworks before handing them over to AI.
From automation to transformation
True productivity emerges when AI initiatives are tied to core business goals, supported by high-quality data, and embedded in a learning culture. Just as the light bulb required rethinking candle-making, AI’s success demands reimagining how organizations create value, not just how they compute.

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